Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Roehampton, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Yuta Shimizu		Anton Matusevich

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.70
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.12	1.75
	2.05	1.68	Watch
	2.09	1.73
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.58)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
45%

Anton Matusevich
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yuta Shimizu's performance.

Anton Matusevich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Anton Matusevich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yuta Shimizu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anton Matusevich than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Anton Matusevich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 393. Matusevich is ranked ATP: 357.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Matusevich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
23.07.26	Johannus Monday - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.07.26	Ryan Colby - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWLWL
- Anton Matusevich
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Oliver Tarvet - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Emile Hudd - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Sebastian Dominko - Anton Matusevich	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Conor Gannon - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.07.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWL

Yuta Shimizu - Anton Matusevich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide