Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Hiroki Moriya		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	3.30	1.28
	3.3	1.28
	3.47	1.34
	3.23	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.33
	3.41	1.27	Watch
	3.3	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.78)	1.3 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hiroki Moriya
28%

Yuta Shimizu
72%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Shimizu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moriya is ranked ATP: 518. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 396.

Moriya is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shimizu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shimizu is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Maximus Jones - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Dominik Palan	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hiroki Moriya - S D Prajwal Dev	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Hiroki Moriya - Grigoriy Lomakin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Aditya Vishal Balsekar - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Yuta Shimizu - Anton Matusevich	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Johannus Monday - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Yuta Shimizu - Liam Broady	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu	2:0

Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide