Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 8, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Aruzhan Sagandikova		Yanan Hou

	1	2
	1.61	2.24
	1.47	2.42	Watch
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.17 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aruzhan Sagandikova
57%

Yanan Hou
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aruzhan Sagandikova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aruzhan Sagandikova's performance.

Yanan Hou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanan Hou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aruzhan Sagandikova than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aruzhan Sagandikova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanan Hou than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanan Hou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aruzhan Sagandikova - Yanan Hou Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagandikova (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sagandikova is ranked WTA: 958. Hou is ranked WTA: 1059.

Recent performances by Sagandikova have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hou is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aruzhan Sagandikova
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Shihomi Li Xuan Leong	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Liuyan An - Aruzhan Sagandikova	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Lexue Xiao - Aruzhan Sagandikova	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Kayo Nishimura	1:2 ✺
13.08.25	Aruzhan Sagandikova - Valeria Savinykh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL
- Yanan Hou
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Jiayi Wang - Yanan Hou	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Yanan Hou - Honoka Kobayashi	2:0 ✺
01.09.25	Zhuoma Ni Ma - Yanan Hou	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Meng Yi Chen - Yanan Hou	Hou Y. retired ✺
27.08.25	Yanan Hou - Chihiro Muramatsu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WWW?W

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