Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Brisbane, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brisbane 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	03:50	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	03:50	TV2 Play
France	03:50	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	03:50	Voyo


	Aryna Sabalenka		Cristina Bucsa

	1	2
	1.06	10	Watch
	1.05	9.2	Watch
	1.05	9.26	Watch
	1.06	9
	1.05	10	Watch
	1.03	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.07)	9.58 ↑ (8.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
90.1%

Cristina Bucsa
9.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

88.4%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Cristina Bucsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6.5 Games - Bucsa (2.02) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 Sets - Bucsa (3.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucsa (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 50.

Bucsa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sabalenka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sabalenka is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sabalenka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Women
06.12.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
WTA Finals
08.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cori Gauff	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW
- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Brisbane
04.01.26	Anna Bondar - Cristina Bucsa	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.12.25	Cristina Bucsa - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Cristina Bucsa - Antonia Ruzic	2:0 ✺
11.12.25	Cristina Bucsa - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Cristina Bucsa - Teodora Kostovic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA US Open
31.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa	2:0

Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa