Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:45	Stan Sport
Bulgaria	10:45	Eurosport 1, Max
Croatia	09:45	Max
Czech Republic	09:45	Eurosport 1, Max
Denmark	09:45	Max
Finland	10:45	Eurosport 1, Max
France	09:45	Eurosport 1, Max
Germany	09:45	Discovery+
Hungary	09:45	Max
Italy	09:45	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Netherlands	09:45	Eurosport 1
Norway	09:45	Eurosport 1, MAX
Poland	09:45	Eurosport 1, Max
Romania	10:45	Eurosport 1, Max
Serbia	09:45	Max
Slovenia	09:45	Max
Spain	09:45	Eurosport 1
Sweden	09:45	Eurosport 1, Max
Switzerland	09:45	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Info, SRF Info
Turkey	11:45	Eurosport 1
United Kingdom	08:45	Discovery+ UK, Eurosport 1


	Aryna Sabalenka		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.29	3.6
	1.33	3.65
	1.35	3.37	Watch
	1.3	3.5
	1.34	3.58	Watch
	1.29	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.25)	3.56 ↓ (4.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
73%

Paula Badosa
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	0%	58.8%

Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Badosa will win (votes: 20 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 42.3% – 75.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Badosa is ranked WTA: 12.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 4.

One and the other player during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
21.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Australian Open
20.01.25	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Paula Badosa - Olga Danilovic	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Paula Badosa - Marta Kostyuk	2:1 ✺
15.01.25	Paula Badosa - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Paula Badosa - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition World Tennis League Women
20.12.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa	1:0
WTA Roland Garros
01.06.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	Badosa P. retired
WTA Miami
22.03.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Stuttgart
21.04.23	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
23.04.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa	2:0
WTA Finals
11.11.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Paula Badosa - Harriet Dart	✺

Aryna Sabalenka - Paula Badosa