Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 18 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Aryna Sabalenka		Shelby Rogers

	1	2
	1.17	5	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.23	4.3
	1.19	4.8
	1.21	4.86
	1.25	4
	1.19	4.8	Watch
	1.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)	4.6 ↑ (3.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
79.2%

Shelby Rogers
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aryna Sabalenka's performance.

Shelby Rogers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shelby Rogers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aryna Sabalenka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shelby Rogers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shelby Rogers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.7%	0%	9.3%

Aryna Sabalenka - Shelby Rogers Predictions

Users Predictions: Aryna Sabalenka will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Rogers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sabalenka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
16.01.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Tereza Martincova	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
08.01.23	Linda Noskova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
06.01.23	Irina-Camelia Begu - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
05.01.23	Marketa Vondrousova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
03.01.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Shelby Rogers
WTA Australian Open
16.01.23	Arianne Hartono - Shelby Rogers	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide 2
09.01.23	Qinwen Zheng - Shelby Rogers	2:1 ✺
07.01.23	Karolina Pliskova - Shelby Rogers	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Marta Kostyuk - Shelby Rogers	0:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
01.01.23	Irina-Camelia Begu - Shelby Rogers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
18.08.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Shelby Rogers	2:1
WTA Hertogenbosch
11.06.22	Aryna Sabalenka - Shelby Rogers	2:0

Aryna Sabalenka - Shelby Rogers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide