Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: MONTREAL (CANADA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 August 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: MONTREAL (CANADA) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:00	beIN Sports
Finland	19:00	CMore, CMore Sport
France	18:00	beIN Sports
Ukraine	19:00	Setanta Sports


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.46
	2.7	1.45
	2.82	1.5
	2.75	1.44
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
34.9%

Aryna Sabalenka
65.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.8%	0%	89.2%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: Aryna Sabalenka will win (33 of 37 users predict this - 89.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.18% – 99.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Samsonova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Montreal
09.08.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Qinwen Zheng	2:0 ✺
08.08.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
WTA Washington
05.08.23	Cori Gauff - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWW
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Montreal
09.08.23	Petra Martic - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
13.07.23	Ons Jabeur - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Madison Keys - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
10.07.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
08.07.23	Anna Blinkova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Adelaide
03.01.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Guadalajara 2
19.10.22	Ludmilla Samsonova - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1

Ludmilla Samsonova - Aryna Sabalenka