Match Info

Date: 24 April 2021, Saturday


	Ashleigh Barty		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.39	2.85
	1.43	3.1
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.43	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)	2.94 ↑ (2.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashleigh Barty
67.6%

Elina Svitolina
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashleigh Barty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashleigh Barty than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	0%	64.7%

Ashleigh Barty - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Barty will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Svitolina will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svitolina: 48.6% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Svitolina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barty is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Svitolina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Svitolina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Svitolina won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashleigh Barty
WTA Stuttgart
23.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Karolina Pliskova	2:1 ✺
21.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
09.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
08.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Shelby Rogers	2:1 ✺
07.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Misaki Doi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Stuttgart
23.04.21	Elina Svitolina - Petra Kvitova	2:1 ✺
22.04.21	Elina Svitolina - Angelique Kerber	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
17.04.21	Elina Svitolina - Yuki Naito	2:1 ✺
16.04.21	Elina Svitolina - Chihiro Muramatsu	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
01.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
01.04.21	Ashleigh Barty - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Finals
03.11.19	Ashleigh Barty - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.19	Elina Svitolina - Ashleigh Barty	2:1
WTA Miami
26.03.18	Ashleigh Barty - Elina Svitolina	0:2
WTA Beijing
04.10.17	Elina Svitolina - Ashleigh Barty	2:0
WTA Wimbledon
03.07.17	Ashleigh Barty - Elina Svitolina	0:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group II
11.02.17	Elina Svitolina - Ashleigh Barty	2:1

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