Match Info

Date: 22 February 2022, Tuesday


	Aslan Karatsev		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.66	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.64	2.18
	1.69	2.28
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aslan Karatsev
57.6%

Mackenzie McDonald
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aslan Karatsev's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aslan Karatsev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	0%	26.9%

Aslan Karatsev - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Karatsev will win (votes: 49 - 73.1%). McDonald will win (votes: 18 - 26.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 62.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Karatsev is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches McDonald is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Karatsev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Marseille
18.02.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
16.02.22	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.22	Aslan Karatsev - Tallon Griekspoor	1:2 ✺
ATP Pune
03.02.22	Aslan Karatsev - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.22	Adrian Mannarino - Aslan Karatsev	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Doha
14.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
09.02.22	Alex De Minaur - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
07.02.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
03.02.22	Alexander Zverev - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
02.02.22	Ilya Ivashka - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Aslan Karatsev	1:3

Aslan Karatsev - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide