Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.47
	1.58	2.52
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.53	2.54	Watch
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)	2.48 ↓ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
61.8%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Basilashvili will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for McDonald: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 3 - 30%). Basilashvili (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Basilashvili (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Basilashvili (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 3 - 25%). Basilashvili (votes: 9 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 98. Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 114.

In recent matches, McDonald has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Basilashvili is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

McDonald will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.57%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.43%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Mackenzie McDonald - James McCabe	McCabe J. retired ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WW?LL
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Chengdu
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sebastian Baez	Canceled ✺
18.09.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Billy Harris	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Bernard Tomic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Rei Sakamoto - Nikoloz Basilashvili	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	James McCabe - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
17.03.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald	Basilashvili N. retired
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.22	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mackenzie McDonald	0:3
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0

Mackenzie McDonald - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide