Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham - Qualification, grass - Final

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday


	August Holmgren		Jay Clarke

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.80
	1.42	2.65
	1.42	2.96
	1.35	2.94	Watch
	1.40	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
67%

Jay Clarke
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

August Holmgren - Jay Clarke Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 148. Clarke is ranked ATP: 247.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Clarke may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Holmgren will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 66.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	August Holmgren - Max Basing	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Toby Samuel - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
08.06.26	August Holmgren - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	August Holmgren - James Watt	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	August Holmgren - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Daniel Masur - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.06.26	Jay Clarke - Giorgio Tabacco	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Jay Clarke - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.05.26	Jay Clarke - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
20.05.26	Thomas Faurel - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

August Holmgren - Jay Clarke: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide