Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ilkley, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday


	Toby Samuel		August Holmgren

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.30	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.62	2.41
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.55	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)	2.3 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toby Samuel
59.5%

August Holmgren
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toby Samuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

August Holmgren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Toby Samuel - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Samuel will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Holmgren will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samuel: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Holmgren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samuel is ranked ATP: 150. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 148.

Samuel is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Holmgren has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Samuel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Samuel might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Toby Samuel	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Toby Samuel - Gonzalo Bueno	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Toby Samuel - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
18.05.26	Martin Damm - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
08.06.26	August Holmgren - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
01.06.26	August Holmgren - James Watt	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	August Holmgren - Oliver Okonkwo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.26	August Holmgren - Facundo Diaz Acosta	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	August Holmgren - Daniel Jade	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLW

Toby Samuel - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide