Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: New Delhi (India), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	August Holmgren		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.83)	1.53 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
39.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shintaro Mochizuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

August Holmgren - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 199. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 181.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

August Holmgren - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Titouan Droguet - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	August Holmgren - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
06.01.25	Hayden Jones - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.01.25	Constant Lestienne - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Heremana Courte - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLWLW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
05.02.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
15.01.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Clement Tabur	0:2 ✺
14.01.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW

August Holmgren - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide