Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	August Holmgren		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	5	1.13	Watch
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	4.2	1.18	Watch
	4.75	1.17	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	4.51	1.18	Watch
	4.2	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (2.7)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

August Holmgren
21.7%

Valentin Royer
78.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that August Holmgren's form might have worsened.

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Valentin Royer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for August Holmgren, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valentin Royer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

August Holmgren - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Holmgren will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Royer will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Royer (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Royer (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Holmgren is ranked ATP: 203. Royer is ranked ATP: 116.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Royer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Royer is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Holmgren won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	August Holmgren - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	August Holmgren - Govind Nanda	N/A ✺
27.02.25	Hynek Barton - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Enrico Dalla Valle - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	August Holmgren - Dalibor Svrcina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 W?LWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
08.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Valentin Royer	Canceled ✺
05.04.25	Valentin Royer - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Valentin Royer - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Valentin Royer - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Valentin Royer - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Valentin Royer - August Holmgren	2:1
ITF Tournaments
01.09.22	Valentin Royer - August Holmgren	0:2

August Holmgren - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide