Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Orleans (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday


	Axel Garcian		Alexey Vatutin

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.06	1.36
	2.98	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	2.95	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.44)	1.34 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Axel Garcian
30.9%

Alexey Vatutin
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Axel Garcian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Axel Garcian's form might have worsened.

Alexey Vatutin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexey Vatutin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Axel Garcian than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Axel Garcian - Alexey Vatutin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Garcian is ranked ATP: 738. Vatutin is ranked ATP: 368.

Two players are playing changeable.

Vatutin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vatutin will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Axel Garcian
ATP Challenger
08.09.24	Arthur Bouquier - Axel Garcian	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.09.24	Axel Garcian - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros	1:2 ✺
03.09.24	Axel Garcian - Adan Freire Da Silva	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Axel Garcian - Chen Dong	0:2 ✺
25.07.24	Axel Garcian - Pablo Trochu	Garcian A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWL?
- Alexey Vatutin
ATP Challenger
15.09.24	Louis Tessa - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Vit Kopriva - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
12.09.24	Alexey Vatutin - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
12.09.24	Alexey Vatutin - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
10.09.24	Sebastian Fanselow - Alexey Vatutin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW

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