Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday


	Ayano Shimizu		Lucia Cortez Llorca

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
			Watch
	1.61	2.19	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.62	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.34)	2.2 ↓ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayano Shimizu
57.9%

Lucia Cortez Llorca
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayano Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ayano Shimizu's form might have worsened.

Lucia Cortez Llorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucia Cortez Llorca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayano Shimizu than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ayano Shimizu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucia Cortez Llorca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ayano Shimizu - Lucia Cortez Llorca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimizu (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked WTA: 290. Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 462.

In recent matches, Shimizu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cortez Llorca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayano Shimizu
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Ayano Shimizu - Britt Du Pree	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.07.25	Angela Fita Boluda - Ayano Shimizu	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Momoko Kobori - Ayano Shimizu	2:1 ✺
25.06.25	Chihiro Muramatsu - Ayano Shimizu	1:2 ✺
24.06.25	Mayuka Aikawa - Ayano Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LLWW
- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Melisa Ercan	Ercan M. retired ✺
22.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Julia Garcia - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Tena Lukas - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 ?LLLL

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