Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W40 HONG KONG (HONG KONG), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday


	Ayano Shimizu		Natsumi Kawaguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.81	1.93
	2	1.73
	1.82	1.89	Watch
	1.82	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.24)	1.86 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayano Shimizu
50.1%

Natsumi Kawaguchi
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayano Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ayano Shimizu's performance.

Natsumi Kawaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Natsumi Kawaguchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayano Shimizu than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayano Shimizu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natsumi Kawaguchi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natsumi Kawaguchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Kawaguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kawaguchi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shimizu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayano Shimizu
ITF Tournaments
26.06.23	Ayano Shimizu - Sijia Wei	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Ayano Shimizu - Ya Yi Yang	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Ayano Shimizu - Yuyun Chen	2:1 ✺
15.06.23	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Ayano Shimizu	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Ayano Shimizu - Sofia Costoulas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW
- Natsumi Kawaguchi
ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Ya Yi Yang - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Monique Barry - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2 ✺
31.05.23	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Aoi Ito	0:2 ✺
30.05.23	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Nana Kawagishi	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Natsumi Kawaguchi - Johanne Christine Svendsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.05.23	Ayano Shimizu - Natsumi Kawaguchi	2:0
21.04.23	Ayano Shimizu - Natsumi Kawaguchi	0:2

Ayano Shimizu - Natsumi Kawaguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide