Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Porto 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Ayla Aksu		Aliona Falei

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.8	2.03
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.77	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.81)	1.93 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayla Aksu
51.9%

Aliona Falei
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayla Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Aliona Falei has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayla Aksu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aliona Falei than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aliona Falei could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ayla Aksu - Aliona Falei Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aksu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Falei will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aksu (votes: 1 - 50%). Falei (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aksu is ranked WTA: 297. Falei is ranked WTA: 325.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Falei may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aksu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Aliona Falei - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayla Aksu
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Kajsa Rinaldo Persson - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Angelina Voloshchuk - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
20.02.26	Celine Naef - Ayla Aksu	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Sarah Iliev - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Enola Chiesa - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW
- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Aliona Falei - Camilla Rosatello	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Julie Belgraver - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Aliona Falei - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Isabella Maria Serban - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.11.22	Aliona Falei - Ayla Aksu	2:1

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