Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Ayla Aksu		Kaitlin Quevedo

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.54	1.54
	2.77	1.41	Watch
	2.68	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.54)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayla Aksu
35.8%

Kaitlin Quevedo
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayla Aksu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kaitlin Quevedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaitlin Quevedo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ayla Aksu - Kaitlin Quevedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aksu is ranked WTA: 377. Quevedo is ranked WTA: 173.

Aksu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quevedo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Quevedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Quevedo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Quevedo will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayla Aksu
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Kayla Cross - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
15.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Diana Martynov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL
- Kaitlin Quevedo
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Amandine Hesse - Kaitlin Quevedo	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Angelina Voloshchuk	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Elza Tomase	2:0 ✺
11.09.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Alice Robbe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW

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