Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama 2 - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Aziz Ouakaa		Ben Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	1.86	1.84
	1.97	1.76	Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.29)	1.81 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Ouakaa
49%

Ben Jones
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Ouakaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Ouakaa's performance.

Ben Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ben Jones might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Ouakaa than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Ouakaa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Jones than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ben Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aziz Ouakaa - Ben Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ouakaa is ranked ATP: 676. Jones is ranked ATP: 836.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ouakaa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jones will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Aziz Ouakaa - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.67%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Ouakaa
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Oren Vasser	2:1 ✺
18.11.25	Jelle Sels - Aziz Ouakaa	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Tom Zeuch	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Kelsey Stevenson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.11.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Ben Jones Tennis
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Kelsey Stevenson - Ben Jones	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Mikael Arseneault - Ben Jones	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Ben Jones	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Ben Jones - Arthur Nagel	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Ben Jones - Alex Knaff	Jones B. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLL?

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