Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday


	Baptiste Crepatte		Illya Marchenko

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.22
	3.64	1.23
	3.99	1.25
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.7	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.88)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baptiste Crepatte
24.9%

Illya Marchenko
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baptiste Crepatte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baptiste Crepatte's form might have worsened.

Illya Marchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illya Marchenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baptiste Crepatte than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Baptiste Crepatte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illya Marchenko than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illya Marchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Baptiste Crepatte - Illya Marchenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baptiste Crepatte
ATP Challenger
20.02.20	Baptiste Crepatte - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
19.02.20	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Baptiste Crepatte	0:2 ✺
17.02.20	Baptiste Crepatte - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.20	Baptiste Crepatte - Alexandre Peyrot	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.01.20	Mischa Zverev - Baptiste Crepatte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWLL
- Illya Marchenko
ATP Challenger
20.02.20	Roman Safiullin - Illya Marchenko	Safiullin R. retired ✺
19.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
17.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
12.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Quentin Halys	1:2 ✺
10.02.20	Illya Marchenko - Mats Moraing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?WWLW

Baptiste Crepatte - Illya Marchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide