Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	05:00	HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	05:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	06:00	HBO Max
Croatia	05:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	05:00	HBO Max
Denmark	05:00	HBO Max
Finland	06:00	HBO Max
France	05:00	HBO Max
Hungary	05:00	HBO Max
Moldova	06:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	05:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	05:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	05:00	HBO Max
Norway	05:00	HBO Max
Poland	05:00	HBO Max
Romania	06:00	HBO Max
Serbia	05:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	05:00	HBO Max
Spain	05:00	HBO Max
Sweden	05:00	HBO Max


	Beatriz Haddad Maia		Maria Sakkari

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.3	1.59
	2.45	1.62
	1.80	2.01	Watch
	2.3	1.62
	2.49	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.12)	1.65 ↑ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beatriz Haddad Maia
42%

Maria Sakkari
58%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beatriz Haddad Maia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Maria Sakkari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beatriz Haddad Maia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maria Sakkari Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Haddad Maia will win (votes: 18 - 54.5%). Sakkari will win (votes: 15 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Haddad Maia: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Haddad Maia (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Sakkari (votes: 5 - 38.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Haddad Maia is ranked WTA: 22. Sakkari is ranked WTA: 64.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Haddad Maia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beatriz Haddad Maia
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Sonay Kartal	2:1 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Marie Bouzkova - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Maya Joint - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
WTA Montreal
29.07.25	Suzan Lamens - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- Maria Sakkari
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Anna Bondar	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Tatjana Maria	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
18.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
10.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Kamilla Rakhimova - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
29.04.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maria Sakkari	2:0
WTA Nottingham
10.06.22	Maria Sakkari - Beatriz Haddad Maia	1:2
WTA Miami
25.03.22	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maria Sakkari	2:1

Beatriz Haddad Maia - Maria Sakkari