Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.15	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.59	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.66)	2.23 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
58.4%

Facundo Mena
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Beibit Zhukayev - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mena will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 290. Mena is ranked ATP: 336.

Recent performances by Zhukayev have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mena has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zhukayev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhukayev could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.9%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Masamichi Imamura	Canceled ✺
19.02.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Dane Sweeny - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Vadym Ursu	0:2 ✺
26.01.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?LWLW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Facundo Mena - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
21.02.26	Facundo Mena - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Borna Gojo - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

Beibit Zhukayev - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide