Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Borna Gojo		Facundo Mena

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.8	Watch
	1.22	3.75	Watch
	1.22	3.81	Watch
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.22	3.84	Watch
	1.2	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	3.92 ↑ (2.96)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Gojo
76.3%

Facundo Mena
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borna Gojo's performance.

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Facundo Mena might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borna Gojo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Borna Gojo - Facundo Mena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gojo is ranked ATP: 237. Mena is ranked ATP: 334.

Gojo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gojo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gojo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Gojo
ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Borna Gojo - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Joshua Sheehy - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
06.02.26	Borna Gojo - Quinn Vandecasteele	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Tristan Boyer - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
03.02.26	Jack Kennedy - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Facundo Mena - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Facundo Mena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Facundo Mena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
26.01.26	Facundo Mena - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
18.05.22	Borna Gojo - Facundo Mena	2:0

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