Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Santiago - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Facundo Mena		Daniel Elahi Galan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.29	1.56	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.89)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Mena
41.6%

Daniel Elahi Galan
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Mena's form might have worsened.

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniel Elahi Galan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Facundo Mena - Daniel Elahi Galan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Galan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mena is ranked ATP: 333. Galan is ranked ATP: 184.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Elahi Galan - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.5%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
16.02.26	Borna Gojo - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Facundo Mena	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Facundo Mena - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Facundo Mena - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Facundo Mena - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWLW
- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Rio de Janeiro
14.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Dino Prizmic	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Hugo Grenier	Galan D. E. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.01.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Mena	2:0
22.10.19	Facundo Mena - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2
21.02.19	Facundo Mena - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0
14.11.16	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Mena	1:2
28.09.15	Facundo Mena - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1

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