Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Charlottesville (USA), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Learner Tien

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.9	1.36
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	3.11	1.38
	2.96	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.93	1.37	Watch
	2.8	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.6)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
32.4%

Learner Tien
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Beibit Zhukayev - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: Learner Tien will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 184. Tien is ranked ATP: 124.

Recent matches Zhukayev is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tien is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zhukayev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tien is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tien to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zhukayev won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Learner Tien - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Almaty
18.10.24	Karen Khachanov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
17.10.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
15.10.24	Benjamin Hassan - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
01.10.24	Billy Harris - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 L?WLW
- Learner Tien
ATP Challenger
13.10.24	Learner Tien - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Learner Tien - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
11.10.24	Learner Tien - Patrick Kypson	2:1 ✺
09.10.24	Learner Tien - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
08.10.24	Learner Tien - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

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