Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Max Hans Rehberg

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.92
	1.86	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.85)	1.91 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
51.2%

Max Hans Rehberg
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Max Hans Rehberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Hans Rehberg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Beibit Zhukayev - Max Hans Rehberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Rehberg will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhukayev: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 216. Rehberg is ranked ATP: 247.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zhukayev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.4%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Mees Rottgering	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Remy Bertola	2:0 ✺
11.02.25	Marat Sharipov - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
02.02.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Muzammil Murtaza	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWL?
- Max Hans Rehberg
ATP Challenger
22.02.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
21.02.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Johannus Monday	Monday J. retired ✺
19.02.25	Constant Lestienne - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Christoph Negritu - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Calvin Hemery - Max Hans Rehberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 L?WWL

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