Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Yaroslav Demin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
54%

Yaroslav Demin
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Yaroslav Demin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Beibit Zhukayev - Yaroslav Demin Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 495., and Demin is ranked ATP: 645..

Demin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zhukayev is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Yaroslav Demin - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Amir Omarkhanov - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Yusuke Takahashi	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Liam Broady - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW
- Yaroslav Demin
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Hanyi Liu - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Jack Loge - Yaroslav Demin	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Niklas Schell - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Yassine Smiej - Yaroslav Demin	0:2 ✺
27.08.26	Alexander Ritschard - Yaroslav Demin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWWL

Beibit Zhukayev - Yaroslav Demin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide