Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Gwangju - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Hiroki Moriya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.41	2.99
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.37	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.39)	2.85 ↑ (2.76)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
67.2%

Hiroki Moriya
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beibit Zhukayev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Beibit Zhukayev - Hiroki Moriya Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moriya will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 305. Moriya is ranked ATP: 427.

Zhukayev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Moriya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhukayev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zhukayev could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Uisung Park - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Corentin Denolly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWLW
- Hiroki Moriya
ATP Challenger
19.04.26	Hiroki Moriya - Philip Sekulic	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Hiroki Moriya - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Tung-Lin Wu - Hiroki Moriya	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Hiroki Moriya - James Kent Trotter	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Hiroki Moriya - Koki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLWWW

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