Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday


	Ben Shelton		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.47	2.7
	1.54	2.66
	1.53	2.59	Watch
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.49	2.65	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	2.68 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
64.3%

Fabian Marozsan
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Fabian Marozsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	0%	36.8%

Ben Shelton - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Marozsan will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelton: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 14. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 50.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Marozsan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Shelton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shelton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Ben Shelton - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
13.08.24	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Alexei Popyrin - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Alexander Bublik - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
03.08.24	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Cincinnati
15.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Corentin Moutet	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
06.08.24	Fabian Marozsan - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Fabian Marozsan - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
25.07.24	Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Auckland
09.01.24	Ben Shelton - Fabian Marozsan	2:0
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Fabian Marozsan - Ben Shelton	0:2

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