Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Ben Shelton		Reilly Opelka

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.28	3.75	Watch
	1.27	4.14
	1.27	3.79	Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.3	3.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.29)	3.81 ↑ (3.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
74.8%

Reilly Opelka
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Reilly Opelka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Opelka (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Shelton (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Shelton (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Opelka (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 8. Opelka is ranked ATP: 68.

Shelton is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Opelka's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shelton is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Dallas
15.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Denis Shapovalov - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Adrian Mannarino - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Gabriel Diallo - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Reilly Opelka
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Reilly Opelka - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
10.02.26	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Reilly Opelka	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
20.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Reilly Opelka	0:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
13.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Reilly Opelka - Ben Shelton	1:2
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Ben Shelton - Reilly Opelka	2:0

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