Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin, hard

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Ben Shelton		Felix Aliassime-Auger

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.22	Watch
	1.74	2.23
	2.15	1.70	Watch
	1.71	2.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.15)	2.12 ↑ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
54.2%

Felix Aliassime-Auger
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ben Shelton's performance.

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felix Aliassime-Auger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Shelton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felix Aliassime-Auger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ben Shelton - Felix Aliassime Auger Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 18 - 48.6%). Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 19 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 35.3% – 67.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Aliassime-Auger (votes: 5 - 26.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 6. Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 8.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shelton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP World Tour Finals
09.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Ben Shelton - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Ben Shelton - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Ben Shelton - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Jaume Munar - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL
- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP World Tour Finals
10.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
02.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Valentin Vacherot - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
28.10.24	Ben Shelton - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Ben Shelton - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:3

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