Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	7	1.1	Watch
	7.75	1.08	Watch
	6.5	1.14
	6.56	1.12	Watch
	7	1.1	Watch
	6.89	1.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↓ (8.77)	1.11 ↑ (1.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
13.8%

Jannik Sinner
86.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.9%

89.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sinner will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aliassime-Auger: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sinner (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliassime-Auger (votes: 3 - 75%). Sinner (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 7. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 0.

Aliassime-Auger is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sinner is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Aliassime-Auger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.7:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.07 are the expected chance of winning is 89.11%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Casper Ruud	3:2 ✺
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Exhibition UTS Championship Men
04.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Grigor Dimitrov	Cabal J. S./Farah R. Walkover ✺
ATP Miami
23.03.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWW?L
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	1:2 ✺
07.04.26	Ugo Humbert - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
29.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Francis Tiafoe - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP World Tour Finals
10.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Paris
02.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP US Open
05.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	3:1
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0
ATP Madrid
02.05.24	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. walkover
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	2:1
ATP Madrid
05.05.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	2:0

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