Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


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France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
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Usa	Max


	Ben Shelton		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.56	2.6
	1.51	2.57	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.57	2.42	Watch
	1.57	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.47)	2.44 ↓ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
61%

Matteo Gigante
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ben Shelton - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Shelton will win (votes: 17 - 48.6%). Gigante will win (votes: 18 - 51.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gigante: 34.8% – 68%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Gigante (votes: 8 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 43.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Shelton (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Shelton (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 8 - 50%). Gigante (votes: 8 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 13. Gigante is ranked ATP: 167.

Shelton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gigante is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shelton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Ben Shelton - Hugo Gaston	Shelton B. walkover ✺
25.05.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Ben Shelton - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Ben Shelton - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
25.04.25	Ben Shelton - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ?WLLW
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Benjamin Hassan - Matteo Gigante	0:3 ✺
22.05.25	Elmer Moller - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Zachary Svajda - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWWW

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