Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Ben Shelton		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.81	2.1
	1.76	2.05	Watch
	1.85	1.95	Watch
	1.82	2.02	Watch
	1.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	2.03 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
53.2%

Mariano Navone
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Mariano Navone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.5%	0%	15.5%

Ben Shelton - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: Ben Shelton will win (49 of 58 users predict this - 84.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.16% – 93.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ben Shelton will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 13. Navone is ranked ATP: 85.

Shelton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Navone is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shelton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP Munich
20.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
18.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
16.04.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Borna Gojo - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWWW
- Mariano Navone
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.25	David Goffin - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Mariano Navone - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
12.04.25	Mariano Navone - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2
ATP Tokyo
26.09.24	Mariano Navone - Ben Shelton	0:2

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