Match Info

Date: 16 May 2022, Monday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.2	1.36
	3.1	1.36
	3.05	1.37
	3.05	1.35
	3.21	1.38
	3.1	1.36
	3.32	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↓ (3.35)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
30.2%

Sebastian Baez
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Benjamin Bonzi - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
13.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
12.05.22	Martin Cuevas - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
11.05.22	Gregoire Barrere - Benjamin Bonzi	1:2 ✺
09.05.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Gregoire Barrere	2:0 ✺
07.05.22	Benjamin Bonzi - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Roma
11.05.22	Sebastian Baez - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
10.05.22	Tallon Griekspoor - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Sebastian Baez - Emil Ruusuvuori	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Sebastian Baez - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
ATP Estoril
01.05.22	Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWWW

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