The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Francis Tiafoe 40.6%
Sebastian Baez 59.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.5%
49.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.8%
0%
45.2%
Francis Tiafoe - Sebastian Baez Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 17 - 54.8%). Baez will win (votes: 14 - 45.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 37.3% โ 72.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Now both players are in good shape.
Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Baez will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Baez to win the game is with odds 1.61.
Watch
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