Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SHANGHAI (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday


	Benjamin Lock		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.72
	2.05	1.7	Watch
	2.06	1.73
	2.11	1.76
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.02	1.73	Watch
	2.04	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.45)	1.72 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Lock
45.5%

Lorenzo Giustino
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Lock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Lock's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Lock that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Benjamin Lock - Lorenzo Giustino Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lock will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Giustino will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lock: 64.6% – 100%.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Lock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Giustino will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lock won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ATP Challenger
27.09.23	Benjamin Lock - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
21.09.23	Benjamin Lock - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
20.09.23	Rio Noguchi - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Linang Xiao - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.23	Damian Wenger - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL
- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Zhuhai
19.09.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
08.09.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Hiroki Moriya - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Benjamin Lock - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1

Benjamin Lock - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide