Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CHENGDU (CHINA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 20 September 2023, Wednesday


	Rio Noguchi		Benjamin Lock

	1	2
	1.48	2.5
	1.48	2.5
	1.51	2.62
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.51	Watch
	1.48	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.66)	2.53 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
63%

Benjamin Lock
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Noguchi's performance.

Benjamin Lock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benjamin Lock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Noguchi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Lock than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Lock could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Noguchi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lock is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noguchi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Noguchi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Rio Noguchi - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Dane Sweeny - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
11.09.23	Evan Zhu - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
05.09.23	Dominik Palan - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Rio Noguchi - Linang Xiao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Benjamin Lock
ATP Chengdu
19.09.23	Linang Xiao - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.09.23	Damian Wenger - Benjamin Lock	2:0 ✺
08.09.23	Atharva Sharma - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
07.09.23	Michael Bassem Sobhy - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Guy Orly Iradukunda - Benjamin Lock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Lock
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Calvin Hemery - Benjamin Lock	✺

Rio Noguchi - Benjamin Lock: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide