Match Info

Date: 27 September 2021, Monday


	Benoit Paire		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.85	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.43
	2.85	1.47
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.96	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.3)	1.43 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
33.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benoit Paire's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benoit Paire, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.1%	0%	67.9%

Benoit Paire - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Paire will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 50.6% – 85.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Paire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paire will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Astana
21.09.21	Benoit Paire - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Dusan Lajovic - Benoit Paire	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.21	Benoit Paire - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
24.08.21	Benoit Paire - Gilles Simon	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
20.08.21	Andrey Rublev - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Metz
23.09.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
21.09.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Gilles Simon	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
30.08.21	Gilles Simon - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWL?L

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