Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.42
	2.90	1.41	Watch
	2.93	1.43	Watch
	2.90	1.44
	2.90	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.68)	1.43 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
33.3%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Basilashvili (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Basilashvili (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 145., and Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 29..

Basilashvili arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Basilashvili may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Davidovich Fokina for this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Basilashvili has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Nikoloz Basilashvili - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 35.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Jenson Brooksby - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Hanlei Lu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Chengdu
27.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Alex Molcan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Metz
23.09.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1

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