Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Final

Date: 29 September 2026, Tuesday


	Hubert Hurkacz		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.70	2.18
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.25	Watch
	1.59	2.21
	1.68	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	2.2 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hubert Hurkacz
57.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Davidovich Fokina (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 41., and Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 28..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 2.

Hurkacz is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Hurkacz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Hurkacz has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:12 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Chengdu
28.09.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Martin Damm - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Chengdu
28.09.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Alexandre Muller - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
16.07.26	Alex Molcan - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP United Cup
31.12.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2
ATP Wimbledon
27.06.22	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	3:2
ATP Madrid
04.05.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.21	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Montpellier
25.02.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	2:0
ATP US Open
02.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1

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