Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAN BENEDETTO (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday


	Benoit Paire		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.31	1.66
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.24	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.13)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
42.7%

Luciano Darderi
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	0%	53.8%

Benoit Paire - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Paire will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Darderi will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paire is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Darderi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Darderi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Darderi to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Benoit Paire - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Benoit Paire - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
04.07.23	Hernan Casanova - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Oscar Otte - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Facundo Juarez - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
11.07.23	Alessandro Giannessi - Luciano Darderi	Canceled ✺
08.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WW?LW

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