Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MILAN (ITALY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MILAN (ITALY) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Matteo Gigante		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.73	2.1
	1.81	2.09
	1.75	2.02	Watch
	1.74	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	2.05 ↑ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Gigante
53.9%

Luciano Darderi
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Matteo Gigante - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Gigante will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gigante is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Darderi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gigante won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
07.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
06.07.23	Matteo Gigante - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
04.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
29.06.23	Harold Mayot - Matteo Gigante	3:0 ✺
28.06.23	Matteo Gigante - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Challenger
07.07.23	Lautaro Midon - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
06.07.23	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
04.07.23	Luciano Darderi - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Maximilian Marterer - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.07.22	Matteo Gigante - Luciano Darderi	Canceled

Matteo Gigante - Luciano Darderi