Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tunis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday


	Benoit Paire		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.48	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.26	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.66	2.17	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.62	2.21	Watch
	1.57	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.84)	2.31 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
59.4%

Yuta Shimizu
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benoit Paire's performance.

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benoit Paire that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Benoit Paire - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: Yuta Shimizu will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paire is ranked ATP: 556. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 193.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paire might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paire won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Benoit Paire - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Yuta Shimizu - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
09.05.25	Benoit Paire - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Timofey Skatov - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
06.05.25	Benoit Paire - Giovanni Fonio	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Mark Lajal - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
28.04.25	Benoit Paire - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
22.04.25	Yuta Shimizu - James Kent Trotter	Canceled ✺
16.04.25	Adam Walton - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Jelle Sels - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Maxime Janvier - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.23	Yuta Shimizu - Benoit Paire	1:2

Benoit Paire - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide