Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 29 April 2026, Wednesday
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Sho Shimabukuro |
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Yuta Shimizu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.56 |
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2.58 |
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1.52 |
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2.36 |
 Watch |
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1.5 |
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2.5 |
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1.5 |
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2.42 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.66) |
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2.47 ↑
(2.06) |
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- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sho Shimabukuro
61.9% | Yuta Shimizu
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sho Shimabukuro's performance.Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yuta Shimizu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-10.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sho Shimabukuro that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yuta Shimizu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sho Shimabukuro will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 108. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 390.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 0.Shimabukuro has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).Shimizu is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 22.04.26 | Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu | 1:2 | | 02.09.25 | Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro | Canceled | | ATP US Open | | | 19.08.25 | Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro | 2:1 | | ATP Challenger | | | 14.04.25 | Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu | 0:2 | | 12.03.24 | Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro | 2:0 | | 07.09.22 | Sho Shimabukuro - Yuta Shimizu | 2:1 |
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