Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Akira Santillan

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.30	3.25
	1.31	3.15	Watch
	1.36	3.37
	1.28	3.33	Watch
	1.32	3.3
	1.3	3.21	Watch
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	3.2 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
70.7%

Akira Santillan
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Akira Santillan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 179. Santillan is ranked ATP: 331.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Tomic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
03.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Edward Winter	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
31.07.26	Cameron Norrie - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL
- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
02.09.26	Akira Santillan - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Omar Jasika - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Sanhui Shin - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.26	Akira Santillan - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Akira Santillan - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.01.24	Akira Santillan - Bernard Tomic	2:0
Exhibition UTR Pro Match Series Men
15.12.20	Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan	2:1

Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide