Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 August 2026, Wednesday


	Akira Santillan		Antoine Ghibaudo

	1	2
	2.10	1.65
	2.07	1.72
	2.14	1.74
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.08	1.74
	2.03	1.68	Watch
	2.10	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.94)	1.69 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akira Santillan
44.7%

Antoine Ghibaudo
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akira Santillan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Antoine Ghibaudo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akira Santillan than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoine Ghibaudo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Akira Santillan - Antoine Ghibaudo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Santillan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ghibaudo will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Santillan is ranked ATP: 291. Ghibaudo is ranked ATP: 351.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Santillan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Akira Santillan
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Akira Santillan - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Akira Santillan - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Alastair Gray - Akira Santillan	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Chris Rodesch - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Akira Santillan - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW
- Antoine Ghibaudo
ATP Challenger
03.08.26	Tuncay Duran - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Antoine Ghibaudo - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Dan Added - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Antoine Ghibaudo	0:2 ✺
06.07.26	Lui Maxted - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

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