Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Adrian Mannarino		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.75	Watch
	1.92	1.84	Watch
			Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
	1.9	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
47.9%

Bernard Tomic
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: Bernard Tomic will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bernard Tomic will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 134. Tomic is ranked ATP: 236.

Two players are playing changeable.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.78%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Nicolas Mejia	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Adrian Mannarino - Aidan Mayo	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
03.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Corentin Denolly	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Adrian Mannarino - Naoki Nakagawa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
10.04.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
03.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:1 ✺
28.03.25	Bernard Tomic - Hugo Grenier	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Acapulco
24.02.16	Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic	0:2
ATP Bogota
26.07.15	Adrian Mannarino - Bernard Tomic	1:2
ATP Acapulco
24.02.15	Bernard Tomic - Adrian Mannarino	2:1

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