Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday


	Bernard Tomic		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.71	2.22
	1.73	2.01	Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.61)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
55.9%

Dane Sweeny
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Bernard Tomic - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sweeny will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 186. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 231.

Tomic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sweeny is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Fajing Sun - Bernard Tomic	Canceled ✺
ATP Almaty
13.10.25	Bernard Tomic - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WW?LW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Tai Sach - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Dane Sweeny - Carl Emil Overbeck	2:1 ✺
31.10.25	Dane Sweeny - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Dane Sweeny - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
15.06.23	Dane Sweeny - Bernard Tomic	0:2

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